Active negotiations Critical priority Current legal rule: unchanged

Automotive

The most technically complex sector in the joint review — specialized rules of origin, an unresolved core-parts panel ruling, layered Section 232 and Section 338 tariffs, and a rapidly shifting technology base all converge here.

Last reviewed and updated: October 18, 2026  ·  Next scheduled events: USITC 332-608 post-hearing briefs due, Oct. 21, 2026  ·  USITC 332-608 other written submissions due, Nov. 2, 2026  ·  DOL high-wage labor value content recordkeeping comments due, Dec. 15, 2026  ·  Fourth U.S.–Mexico negotiating round (no date located as of Oct. 18, 2026)  ·  Joint-review comments and hearing requests due to USTR, Jan. 12, 2027  ·  ← Back to Review Watch

ICPA distinguishes controlling law, official government positions, stakeholder recommendations, media reporting, and ICPA analysis throughout this page. Negotiations do not alter an importer’s legal obligations unless implemented through an applicable legal mechanism.

No change to the current USMCA automotive rules of origin has been identified as legally effective as of October 18, 2026. Current obligations remain governed by USMCA Chapter 4, the Appendix to Annex 4-B, Annex 2-C, the trilateral Uniform Regulations, and each country’s domestic implementing law unless and until a legally effective change is adopted.

Five-Minute Briefing

Everything a compliance professional needs before the details.

Why this matters

Automotive combines the Agreement’s most demanding rules of origin with an unresolved dispute-panel ruling, Section 232 tariffs layered on top of USMCA preferences, Labor Value Content enforcement, and a technology base (EV batteries, e-axles, semiconductors) that the existing rules were not written around. Changes here reach vehicle and parts producers, suppliers of every tier, and the practical value of USMCA preference itself.

What is confirmed

The U.S. declined to renew USMCA in its current form on July 1, 2026, triggering annual reviews through 2036. USTR’s July 1, 2026 automotive report to Congress confirms the U.S. intends to examine stronger rules of origin, reduced reliance on third-country inputs, and simplified compliance for smaller suppliers. A USMCA Chapter 31 panel already ruled against the United States on the automotive core-parts “roll-up” calculation in December 2022; Mexico maintains that ruling has not been fully implemented. The third U.S.–Mexico bilateral round concluded in Mexico City on July 23, 2026 with automobiles among the central topics; a fourth round was reported for Washington in late September 2026 and then as moved to October; Expansión reported on October 16 that Secretary Ebrard said it must be held before year-end, and ICPA has located no announced date as of October 18 (Reported, Tier 2).

The treaty text is unchanged, but the surrounding tariff environment shifted during the week of July 20. A Section 338 motor-vehicle proclamation against Canada followed; after Proclamation 11056 its 50% duty began August 22, 2026, regardless of USMCA origin. Goods already under Section 232 (including autos) were initially excluded, but from September 15 CBP guidance (CSMS #69851916) limits that carve-out (HTSUS 9903.03.15) to goods under the dairy heading 9903.03.13, so it no longer covers motor-vehicle-list goods. USTR’s forced-labor Section 301 final action preserves a USMCA-compliant exemption. The Gordie Howe International Bridge opens July 27, 2026.

Two August items now carry direct entry-level consequences. Commerce’s August 4 preliminary affirmative AD determination on van-type trailers and subassemblies from Canada (A-122-875) suspends liquidation and imposes cash deposits at 4.29% for most named producers and the all-others rate, and 44.86% for two non-responsive companies. On August 13 USTR resolved the Rapid Response Labor Mechanism matter at the Grupo Yazaki wire-harness facility in León, Guanajuato, and liquidation of previously suspended entries has resumed. The AD determination is not a USMCA measure, and USMCA-originating status does not avoid the AD deposits; the Yazaki matter, by contrast, was enforcement under the USMCA Rapid Response Labor Mechanism.

What is reported not confirmed

Secondary reporting continues to surface possible U.S. proposals to raise the automotive regional value content threshold and introduce a U.S.-specific content requirement, potentially near 82% overall and 50% U.S.-specific; Reuters reported the 50% U.S.-content demand remained a live sticking point at the July 23 round. ICPA has not located these figures in published government text and has moved them to the Reported Proposals section below rather than presenting them as settled.

What may change

Potential areas of change include the overall RVC threshold, treatment of Chinese and other non-market content, localization requirements for batteries and critical technologies, steel and aluminum purchasing rules, Section 232 offset treatment, Labor Value Content enforcement, and simplified compliance pathways for SMEs. None of these have been adopted as legally effective changes.

What compliance teams should do now
Reasonable now

Confirm current RVC, core-parts, and Labor Value Content calculations; map Section 232 exposure against USMCA-originating status; and review supplier documentation for steel, aluminum, batteries, and critical minerals. Dated items now on the calendar:

  • If you import van-type trailers or trailer subassemblies from Canada or Mexico: check the A-122-875 (Canada) and A-201-867 (Mexico) scopes against your HTS classifications and confirm cash-deposit rates with your broker before the next entry — both preliminary determinations apply from August 4, 2026 (91 FR 49407; 91 FR 49416)
  • Screen Canadian-origin auto-sector SKUs against the September 15 modified Section 338 list (CBP CSMS #69851916) and the September 29 import-exclusion annexes (CSMS #70050970); since September 15 the Section 232 carve-out (9903.03.15) applies only to dairy-heading goods, so do not rely on it for motor-vehicle-list goods
  • If you source wire harnesses or electronic components from the Grupo Yazaki facility in León, Guanajuato, expect previously suspended entries to move to liquidation and reconcile open entry summaries
  • If you import tires from the Yokohama Tire Manufacturing Mexico facility in Coahuila: the United States announced on September 25 that it will suspend liquidation of all entries of goods from the facility until further notice; confirm the status of affected entries with your broker
  • If you import auto parts from the GLM Components Mexico facility in Puebla: USTR announced on October 8 that the Trade Representative directed the Treasury to suspend liquidation of unliquidated entries of goods from the facility; confirm the status of affected entries with your broker
  • If you rely on high-wage Labor Value Content certifications: DOL’s Wage and Hour Division takes comments on extending recordkeeping collection 1235-0032, without change, until December 15, 2026
  • If you ship parts and components to terminal vehicle assemblers in Mexico: the fracción 9803.00.01 duty exemption (in force October 14) is claimed by the importing terminal manufacturer, only with fiscal-warehouse (depósito fiscal) authorization and subject to Secretaría de Economía lineamientos, which ICPA had not located as of October 18; Expansión reports the Secretaría says imports will also need a prior permit (permiso previo) (Reported, Tier 2). Ask your customer whether it intends to use the fracción before changing pricing or documentation
  • Confirm which shipments rely on USMCA qualification versus separate Section 232 or forced-labor Section 301 treatment
  • Track the fourth U.S.–Mexico round, which Secretary Ebrard said on October 16 must come before year-end (ICPA has located no announced date as of October 18), for any published automotive text
  • Monitor Gordie Howe Bridge launch-phase border processing for auto-corridor routing
Wait for more concrete proposals

Do not revise sourcing strategy, ERP calculation logic, or supplier contract terms based on reported RVC or U.S.-content figures alone.

Confirmed Developments

Official government actions, panel rulings, and confirmed events relevant to automotive. None of these amends the USMCA automotive rules of origin.

Oct 16, 2026
DOL Wage and Hour Division seeks comment on extending the USMCA high-wage labor value content recordkeeping collection (OMB 1235-0032); comments due December 15, 2026

The Department of Labor’s Wage and Hour Division published a Paperwork Reduction Act notice (91 FR 65800, FR Doc. 2026-21169) on information collection 1235-0032, High-Wage Components of the Labor Value Content Requirements under the USMCA: “The Department proposes to extend the approval of this existing information collection without change,” and “the current approval for this collection will expire on January 31, 2027.” The Act requires importers who claim USMCA preferential tariff treatment and vehicle producers whose goods are the subject of a claim to keep records related to the Labor Value Content requirements (19 U.S.C. 1508(b)(4)); during a verification the Wage and Hour Administrator may request the records producers must maintain under 29 CFR 810.600, which will often include worker time records and payroll records, and relate to the producer’s certification that it meets the high-wage components during the course of a verification. DOL estimates 9,343 respondents, 6,221,407 annual responses and 219,689 burden hours. Written comments are due on or before December 15, 2026. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: this is a renewal of an existing recordkeeping collection, not a change to the Labor Value Content rule; producers and importers relying on high-wage certifications can comment on the burden estimates. Federal Register, 91 FR 65800, Oct 16 ↗

Oct 13, 2026
Mexico exempts vehicle-assembly parts imported by authorized terminal automakers (fracción 9803.00.01) from its 10% import duty for five years, subject to Secretaría de Economía lineamientos

A presidential decree signed October 9 and published in the Diario Oficial de la Federación on October 13, 2026 “modifica temporalmente” the Tarifa de la Ley de los Impuestos Generales de Importación y de Exportación so that fracción 9803.00.01 moves to “Ex.” (exempt); a considerando records that the fracción was “sujeta a un arancel ad valorem a la importación de 10%.” It covers “Partes y componentes para el ensamble de automóviles cuando se trate de empresas de la industria automotriz terminal que cuenten con autorización de depósito fiscal para ensamble y fabricación de vehículos conforme a la Ley Aduanera, siempre que se ajusten a los lineamientos que establezca la Secretaría de Economía.” Under its transitorio único the decree entered into force the day after publication (October 14, 2026) and remains in effect for five years. The considerandos say the exemption “permitirá reducir los costos de establecimiento y operación de nuevos proyectos automotrices” and describe SKD/CKD assembly as an initial stage of more complex manufacturing projects. The decree does not mention the T-MEC or the United States. Expansión reported on October 16 that, according to the Secretaría de Economía, the possible beneficiaries are 11 light-vehicle manufacturers with production plants in Mexico (not named, and not automatically eligible), that imports will require a prior permit (permiso previo), that the lineamientos will set minimum vehicle-production volumes and cap imported assembly parts as a share of that production, and that SAT and ANAM controls will require companies to report the VINs of vehicles assembled with the imported parts (Reported, Tier 2). ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: the decree conditions the exemption on Secretaría de Economía lineamientos that had not been published as of this update (October 18); eligibility cannot be confirmed until they issue. This is a Mexican import-duty measure, not a change to the USMCA rules of origin. Diario Oficial de la Federación, Oct 13 ↗   Expansión, Oct 16 ↗

Oct 12, 2026
Sheinbaum: “Hay avances. Todavía no tenemos un acuerdo final” on U.S. talks; Mexico seeks lower auto, steel and aluminum tariffs and no new tariffs during the review period

At her October 12 press conference President Sheinbaum said: “hay aranceles en automóviles, en acero y aluminio; lo que nosotros queremos es la disminución de esos aranceles y que no haya más aranceles en el periodo de revisión.” Asked separately whether there were important advances in the negotiations, she said: “Hay avances. Todavía no tenemos un acuerdo final, pero seguimos dialogando, que es lo importante.” She said “lo que decidió Estados Unidos es negociar por aparte Canadá y México,” and, on the Agreement’s term: “Nosotros pedimos que se ampliara por 16 años y Estados Unidos planteó que se mantiene 10 años con una revisión anual”; on a 16-year extension, “no está cerrada esa posibilidad.” ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: the 10-year term with annual review is the Mexican President’s account of the U.S. position, not a U.S. announcement or a concluded outcome; she gave no automotive terms or tariff rates. Presidencia, versión estenográfica, Oct 12 ↗

Oct 8, 2026
USTR invokes the Rapid Response Labor Mechanism at GLM Components Mexico in Puebla; liquidation of the facility’s entries suspended

USTR requested under USMCA Annex 31-A that Mexico review whether workers at GLM Components Mexico, S.A. de C.V., an auto parts manufacturer in Puebla, are being denied the rights of free association and collective bargaining. The Interagency Labor Committee received the petition on September 8, 2026 from the independent union Sindicato Regeneración Nacional de Trabajadores y Empleados de la República Mexicana (“Morenas”), which alleges interference with union activity and retaliatory dismissals. The Trade Representative directed the Treasury to suspend liquidation of unliquidated entries of goods from the facility. Mexico has 10 days to agree to conduct a review and, if it agrees, 45 days from October 8, 2026 to complete it. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: this is the second RRM request at a Mexican facility supplying the vehicle supply chain in two weeks, following the September 25 request at Yokohama Tire Manufacturing Mexico (Coahuila), already recorded on this page; as of October 11 ICPA has located no response from Mexico’s STPS or Secretaría de Economía. Importers of goods from the facility should confirm the status of open entries with their broker. See Labor for the full RRM record. USTR, Oct 8 ↗

Oct 7, 2026
Canada, Mexico, the United States and twelve other economies sign a Joint Ministerial Statement on structural excess capacity; the first sectoral platforms start with Autos and EVs

USTR released a Joint Ministerial Statement on Addressing Structural Excess Capacity and Production signed by the trade ministers of Argentina, Australia, Canada, the European Union, France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan, the Republic of Korea, Mexico, Poland, Türkiye, the United Kingdom and the United States. USTR states that it “convened a meeting of senior officials of 14 economies” “on the margins of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Trade Committee,” building on “the productive discussions at the G20 Trade Ministerial in Milwaukee.” The signatories resolve to work in new, dedicated sectoral platforms on key sectors of concern, “starting with Autos and EVs, Batteries, Chemicals, Foundational Semiconductors, and Solar Panels,” and to meet “before December 2026, at the technical level, to develop terms of reference; share non-confidential information and data.” The statement says countries should “cooperate, share information, and take complementary action, wherever possible.” It does not mention the USMCA. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: this is the first document on non-market policies and excess capacity that all three USMCA parties have signed since the July 1 joint review, and it bears on the U.S. position on non-North American content recorded under Country Positions. USTR, Oct 7 ↗   Joint Ministerial Statement (PDF) ↗

Oct 2, 2026
USTR opens the 2027 joint-review comment docket and hearing process; comments due January 12, 2027

USTR issued a request for comments and notice of public hearing under Section 611 of the USMCA Implementation Act (19 U.S.C. 4611) ahead of the 2027 joint review: “The deadline for submission of comments is January 12, 2027, at 11:59 p.m. EST.” Written comments go to docket USTR-2026-0595 and requests to appear, with testimony summaries, to docket USTR-2026-0596, both through comments.ustr.gov by the same deadline. The hearing date and location will be posted on USTR’s website, and rebuttal comments are due within seven calendar days after the last day of the hearing. The notice was filed for Federal Register public inspection on October 2 and was published in the Federal Register on October 5, 2026 (91 FR 63379, FR Doc. 2026-20341). It recites that at the July 1, 2026 Free Trade Commission meeting “the United States did not agree to extend the Agreement for a new 16-year term” and that annual joint reviews follow under Articles 34.7.4–6. Neither the release nor the notice mentions automotive rules of origin. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: they fall within the first listed topic, “Any aspect of the operation or implementation of the USMCA,” and this is the first Section 611 consultation USTR has opened since the July 1 meeting. USTR, Oct 2 ↗   USTR Federal Register notice (FR Doc. 2026-20341) ↗   Federal Register, 91 FR 63379, Oct 5 ↗

Oct 2, 2026
United States and Mexico agree a course of remediation at the Corporación de Occidente tire plant in El Salto, Jalisco

USTR announced that the United States and Mexico have agreed on a course of remediation under the USMCA Rapid Response Labor Mechanism (RRM) at Corporación de Occidente, S.A. de C.V., in El Salto, Jalisco, which manufactures automotive and specialty tires. The matter began with an October 28, 2025 petition from two dismissed workers; the United States requested Mexico’s review on November 26, 2025, and on January 23, 2026 Mexico concluded that no denial of rights had occurred. The United States and Mexico subsequently agreed on a course of remediation under which the company will reinstate twelve unlawfully dismissed workers with full backpay and benefits or pay full severance, depending on each worker’s preference. The plan also provides for neutrality and freedom-of-association training, an anonymous complaint mechanism, and Mexican government monitoring and worker training. “This announcement marks the fourteenth time the United States and Mexico have agreed on a formal course of remediation” under the RRM. The release does not mention liquidation of entries from the facility. See Labor for the full RRM record. USTR, Oct 2 ↗

Oct 1, 2026
Secretaría de Economía: Ebrard and Greer meet for nearly an hour at the G20 trade ministerial in Milwaukee

Secretaría de Economía Comunicado No. 93 (October 1) reports that Economy Secretary Marcelo Ebrard met U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer for nearly an hour (“casi una hora”) on October 1 on the margins of the G20 trade ministers’ meeting in Milwaukee. Ebrard said: “Nos estamos acercando (México y Estados Unidos) a muchas cosas. A avanzar, a acercar posiciones, resolver temas. Y ahí vamos avanzando.” He said that, of the G20 members and invitees present, Mexico “guarda una posición muy favorable” in its commercial relationship with the United States. The communiqué names no sector and announces no U.S.–Mexico agreement; the only announced outcomes are Mexican commercial missions to the European Union and Canada, with the EU mission planned for spring 2027. It does not mention the fourth bilateral negotiating round. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: as of October 18, ICPA has located no announced date for the fourth U.S.–Mexico round. Secretaría de Economía, Comunicado No. 93, Oct 1 ↗

Sep 28, 2026
CBP CSMS # 70050970 implements the Section 338 import exclusions, including large Canadian motorcycles, from September 29

CBP’s CSMS # 70050970 implements Presidential Proclamations 11061 (Alcoholic Beverages), 11062 (Dairy) and 11063 (Motor Vehicles): “Effective September 29, 2026, at 12:01 a.m., Eastern Time, certain covered products of Canada identified in the Annexes to Presidential Proclamations 11061, 11062, and 11063 are excluded from importation into the United States.” Covered products include commodities under HTSUS headings 0404, 1702, 1703, 2202 through 2208, and 8711. The Motor Vehicles annex attached to the bulletin lists a single line, HTSUS 8711.50.00, “Motorcycles (including mopeds) and cycles fitted with a reciprocating internal-combustion piston engine of a cylinder capacity over 800 cc”; the annex notes its descriptions are provided for informational purposes only. Any entry containing covered products is unconditionally rejected in ACE, with error codes 239 (FTZ admission, e214), 335 (cargo release) and 886 (entry summary). Covered products imported before 12:01 a.m. ET September 29 “remain eligible to be entered for consumption”; those entered into a bonded warehouse or admitted into a Foreign Trade Zone before then may be withdrawn for consumption, at the 50 percent duty under Proclamations 11046, 11047 and 11048. The message does not mention USMCA and sets out no exception for USMCA-qualifying goods. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: the bulletin cites no Chapter 99 subheading; the exclusion operates as an HTS/country-of-origin reject in ACE rather than through a new 9903 provision. CBP CSMS # 70050970, Sep 28 ↗

Sep 25, 2026
USTR invokes the Rapid Response Labor Mechanism at Yokohama Tire Manufacturing Mexico; liquidation of the facility’s entries suspended

USTR requested that Mexico review whether workers at Yokohama Tire Manufacturing Mexico, S.A. de C.V., in Coahuila are being denied the rights of free association and collective bargaining, under the USMCA Rapid Response Labor Mechanism (RRM). The request follows an August 26 petition to the Interagency Labor Committee from the Liga Sindical Obrera Mexicana and the International Lawyers Assisting Workers Network alleging retaliation against union activity. Mexico has 10 days to agree to conduct a review and 45 days from September 25 to complete it. USTR states: “The United States will suspend the liquidation of all entries of goods from the Yokohama facility, which produces tires, until further notice.” The release notes the action follows the closure of Yokohama’s Salem, Virginia plant and the layoff of nearly 600 U.S. workers. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: the release gives no separate start date for the suspension, so treat it as announced September 25 and confirm the status of open entries from the facility with your broker; the Labor page carries the full RRM docket, including earlier automotive-sector cases such as Grupo Yazaki (resolved August 13). See Labor for the full RRM record. USTR, Sep 25 ↗

Sep 21, 2026
Sheinbaum describes two tracks with Washington: tariff talks not yet at “el último punto,” treaty conversations “hacia finales de septiembre”

At her September 21 press conference President Sheinbaum said Mexico is working with the United States on two tracks: one on the tariffs currently applied to steel, aluminum, vehicles and derivatives, and one on the treaty itself under its six-year review. On the first she said “todavía no llegamos al último punto”; on the second, “va a haber conversaciones hacia finales de septiembre.” Economy Secretary Marcelo Ebrard coordinates both tracks, and she said Mexico is offering alternatives where U.S. requests “violarían nuestras leyes.” On the tariff track, she said Washington had originally set out 54 points Mexico would need to resolve to advance a possible reduction of the steel, aluminum and vehicle tariffs, and that “esos 54 puntos se convirtieron casi en 90” as further topics were raised. She also described a Mexican proposal, framed as a way to reduce the bilateral trade balance that President Trump calls “el déficit,” to buy from the United States goods Mexico now buys from other countries. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: she gave no agreement text, tariff rates, or round dates. Presidencia, versión estenográfica, Sep 21 ↗

Sep 18, 2026
Sheinbaum confirms the September 16 call with Trump; a Mexico–U.S. agreement is “advancing well,” no terms until it is final

At her September 18 press conference President Sheinbaum confirmed a call with President Trump on Wednesday, with Foreign Secretary Roberto Velasco and Economy Secretary Marcelo Ebrard participating: “vamos avanzando, va avanzando bien la posibilidad de un acuerdo con nosotros, México-Estados Unidos, y fue muy buena la llamada, llegamos a algunos acuerdos, pero hasta que no esté el acuerdo final no podríamos darlo a conocer.” She gave no automotive specifics and no round date. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: this is Mexico’s most recent official statement of position ahead of the fourth round that Politico reports for September 28–29. Presidencia, versión estenográfica, Sep 18 ↗

Sep 11, 2026
CBP CSMS # 69851916 implements the modified Section 338 Canada list for September 15 entries

CBP’s CSMS # 69851916 implements Proclamations 11064 and 11065 for goods entered for consumption or withdrawn from warehouse on or after 12:01 a.m. ET September 15, 2026. The attached list “provides the complete list of HTSUS classifications subject to Section 338 duties as of September 15, 2026, including 122 additional HTSUS classifications now subject to HTSUS 9903.03.12 or HTSUS 9903.03.14.” Ten classifications come off: 2208.30.60 and 2208.70.00 from 9903.03.12, and 2501.00.00 (salt), 2523.29.00 (Portland cement), 2940.00.60, 4803.00.40, 4818.90.00, 7801.10.00, 8537.10.91 and 9507.10.00 from 9903.03.14; the 9903.03.13 dairy list is unchanged. CBP states: “As of September 15, 2026, only goods subject to HTSUS 9903.03.13 are eligible to claim HTSUS 9903.03.15.” The additional duties remain eligible for drawback, and the Chapter 98 and FTZ privileged-foreign-status rules are restated. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: importers of Canadian-origin goods should re-run the attached “Section 338 Canada Modified HTS LIST eff 091526” against their Chapter 99 filing logic, because coverage changed in both directions, and CBP’s August 21 guidance (CSMS # 69606660) sets out no USMCA exception, and the White House fact sheet states the duties apply “regardless of whether a good originates under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).” Chapter 87 lines are where the additions land for this page. CBP CSMS # 69851916, Sep 11 ↗

Sep 8, 2026
Proclamations 11063 and 11065: the Section 338 motor-vehicle action widens on September 15 and turns into an import ban for large motorcycles on September 29

Proclamation 11065 (91 FR 58339) modifies the scope of the additional duties imposed under Proclamation 11048: “certain products of Canada, as set forth in Annex I, Part A to this proclamation, imported into the United States shall be subject to the additional ad valorem duty of 50 percent,” for goods entered on or after 12:01 a.m. ET September 15, 2026, while Annex I Part B removes others. CBP’s implementing list places HTSUS 8703.10.50 (golf carts and similar vehicles) and 8703.21.01 (passenger vehicles with spark-ignition engines not exceeding 1,000 cc) under heading 9903.03.14 for the first time; the White House fact sheet characterises the additions as ranging from all-terrain vehicles to additional dairy products. The proclamation states the duties “shall apply in addition to duties imposed pursuant to section 232.” Proclamation 11063 (91 FR 58325) excludes the products in its Annex from importation “effective with respect to goods imported on or after 12:01 a.m. eastern time on September 29, 2026”; goods imported but not entered before then remain at the 50 percent duty. Troutman Pepper Locke reads the Annex as motorcycles with engines exceeding 800 cc (HTSUS 8711.50.00), a line CBP’s August 21 list already carried under 9903.03.14 at 50 percent. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: the existing 25 percent Section 232 auto tariff is unaffected, and CBP’s guidance sets out no USMCA exception to either the duties or the exclusion; the annexes are published as images, so confirm the 8711.50.00 reading against CBP’s list. Proclamation 11065, 91 FR 58339 ↗   Proclamation 11063, 91 FR 58325 ↗   White House fact sheet, Sep 8 ↗

Aug 25, 2026
Finance Canada publishes the counter-tariff product list: 629 tariff items

The accompanying backgrounder sets out the measure at the tariff-item level, 629 entries, and was itself updated as of August 26, 2026. Scope turns on whether a good is eligible to be marked as a good of the United States under the Determination of Country of Origin for the Purpose of Marking Goods (CUSMA Countries) Regulations. Goods in transit to Canada on the day the measures come into force are excluded. ICPA analysis, not stated in the backgrounder: the order defines U.S. origin by reference to the marking regulations only and does not mention the CUSMA preferential rules of origin, so members should not assume that claiming preference removes a listed good from the surtax. Administrative detail is to follow through CBSA customs notices.

Aug 25, 2026
Canada announces counter-tariffs matching the Section 338 duties

The Department of Finance Canada announced counter-tariffs of 15, 25 and 50 percent on U.S.-origin goods covering $27.6 billion in imports, each product’s rate matched to the corresponding U.S. Section 338 or Section 232 rate on the same goods. The package responds to the U.S. Section 338 duties effective August 22, including the motor-vehicle tranche imposed over Canada’s 25 percent tariff on non-USMCA-qualifying U.S. vehicles. Canada’s existing counter-tariffs, including those on autos, remain in place alongside the new list, and the tariff remission framework stays available for exceptional-relief requests. Effective 12:01 a.m., September 8, 2026.

Aug 21, 2026
CBP filing guidance issues; the Section 338 motor-vehicle duty takes effect August 22

CBP issued CSMS # 69606660 confirming that the 50 percent additional Section 338 duties on covered Canadian goods, including the motor-vehicles action, apply to goods entered for consumption or withdrawn from warehouse for consumption on or after 12:01 a.m. ET on August 22, 2026. Entries must be filed under HTSUS headings 9903.03.12 through 9903.03.16, with 9903.03.14 carrying the motor-vehicles 50 percent rate and 9903.03.15 and 9903.03.16 covering carve-out categories at zero. The duties apply regardless of whether the goods qualify for USMCA preferential treatment.

Source: CBP CSMS # 69606660, Aug 21 ↗ (Tier 1)

Aug 19, 2026
Commerce amends the U.S.-content submission procedures for USMCA-qualifying automobiles

The International Trade Administration published a Federal Register notice amending the procedures under which importers of automobiles qualifying for USMCA preferential tariff treatment submit documentation to establish U.S. content for Section 232 tariff purposes. The amendments align submission timelines with the requirements for medium- and heavy-duty vehicles under Proclamation 10984. Importers may begin submitting documentation under the amended procedures on or after August 19, 2026. This governs Section 232 offset documentation; it does not change the USMCA rules of origin or propose a U.S.-content requirement under them.

Source: Federal Register, Doc. 2026-16859, Aug 19 ↗ (Tier 1)

Aug 18, 2026
Proclamation 11056 suspends the Section 338 duties on Canada for three days

The President signed Proclamation 11056 temporarily suspending the effective date of the 50 percent additional ad valorem duties imposed under the July 20 Section 338 proclamations 11046, 11047, and 11048, which cover Canadian alcoholic beverages, dairy, and motor-vehicle-related goods. The suspension moved the effective date from August 19 to 12:01 a.m. ET on August 22, 2026 to allow a negotiating window, and provided for refunds of duties already collected. The proclamation was published in the Federal Register on August 24, 2026.

Source: Federal Register, Doc. 2026-17294, Aug 24 ↗ (Tier 1)

Aug 13, 2026
USTR resolves Rapid Response Labor Mechanism matter at Grupo Yazaki wire-harness facility; liquidation resumes

USTR announced the successful resolution of the RRM matter at the Grupo Yazaki, S.A. de C.V. facility in León, Guanajuato, which produces automotive wire harnesses and electronic components. The matter began with an October 20, 2025 SINTTIA petition alleging interference with independent union organizing; remediation included neutrality statements, a minority-union rights policy, worker training, and Mexican government monitoring. The United States has resumed liquidation of previously suspended entries from the facility. Importers sourcing there should confirm entry liquidation status with their brokers. See Labor for the full RRM record.

Source: USTR, Aug 13 ↗ (Tier 1)

Aug 4, 2026
Commerce preliminary affirmative AD determination on van-type trailers and subassemblies from Canada

Commerce published its preliminary affirmative less-than-fair-value determination in case A-122-875 (91 FR 49407). CBP is directed to suspend liquidation and collect cash deposits on covered entries made on or after August 4, 2026. Preliminary weighted-average dumping margins: Manac Inc., Di-Mond Sales, Innovative Trailer Design Industries, Morgan Canada Corporation and all others at 4.29%; Collins Manufacturing Company and GINCOR Werx at 44.86%, based on adverse facts available after both failed to answer the quantity-and-value questionnaire. Scope covers van-type trailers with a gross vehicle weight rating above 26,000 pounds, whether finished or unfinished, assembled or unassembled, plus a long list of named subassemblies, typically entering under HTSUS 8716.39.0040, 8716.39.0090 and 8716.90.5060, with subassemblies also under 7308.30.5050, 7308.90.9590, 7326.90.8688, 8708.29.1500, 8708.99.8180 and 8716.90.5010. Chinese subassemblies, or trailers containing them, imported through Canada must be reported under third-country case numbers C-122-218 and A-122-219. Commerce postponed the final determination to no later than 135 days after publication (December 17, 2026) and extended provisional measures from four months to no more than six. Hearing requests are due within 30 days of publication (September 3, 2026). This is an AD/CVD action, not a USMCA measure — USMCA-originating status does not avoid it.

Source: Federal Register, 91 FR 49407, Aug 4 ↗ (Tier 1)

Jul 27, 2026
Gordie Howe International Bridge opens to traffic

The Gordie Howe International Bridge opens to traffic July 27, 2026, creating a direct Highway 401-to-I-75 Detroit–Windsor crossing in a corridor the bridge authority describes as carrying roughly $300 billion a year in Michigan–Ontario trade. It does not change automotive trade law, but it is a practical freight-resilience gain for the auto corridor. A planned joint U.S.–Canada ceremony was cancelled following the July 20 Section 338 action; carriers should monitor launch-phase border-processing as traffic begins.

Jul 23–24, 2026
Third U.S.–Mexico round concludes; fourth round set for September

The third U.S.–Mexico bilateral round concluded in Mexico City, with automobiles among the central agenda topics alongside steel and aluminum, labor, agriculture, economic security, and electronic payment services. The July 23 joint statement from Ambassador Greer and Secretary Ebrard directs both teams to convene a fourth round in Washington in September 2026. No automotive negotiating text was published. Canada is not party to this bilateral track.

Jul 23, 2026
Forced-labor Section 301 final action preserves USMCA automotive preference

USTR finalized Section 301 forced-labor tariffs on 60 economies, assigning a 10 percent rate to economies including Canada and Mexico. Canada states the final measure preserves an exemption for USMCA-compliant goods, and Mexico states about 85 percent of its exports remain tariff-free. Goods already subject to Section 232 tariffs are not covered. For automotive, the practical effect is a stronger premium on provable USMCA qualification, not a new origin rule.

Jul 22, 2026
USTR signals interim arrangements by year-end, harder auto issues into 2027

Ambassador Greer stated the United States is aiming for interim arrangements with Canada and Mexico by year-end 2026, with more difficult automotive, labor, and environmental issues likely extending into 2027. This extends planning uncertainty for OEMs, suppliers, and compliance teams, since the automotive chapter is the most investment-sensitive part of the review.

Jul 22, 2026
Senate Commerce markup advances the Connected Vehicle Security Act of 2026

A Senate Commerce Committee executive session advanced legislation targeting Chinese vehicles and Chinese ownership in connected vehicles sold in the United States. In parallel, reporting indicates the U.S. auto industry is already shifting away from Chinese connected-car hardware. This bears on future non-party-content and technology-sourcing rules rather than any change to current automotive ROO.

Jul 20, 2026
Section 338 motor-vehicle proclamation against Canada

The White House and USTR announced Section 338 action against Canada, with a dedicated motor-vehicle proclamation tying the measure to Canada’s treatment of U.S. motor vehicles and company-specific quota arrangements. The additional 50 percent duty on covered goods was set for August 19, 2026 and applies regardless of USMCA origin; Proclamation 11056 later moved the start to August 22, 2026. As announced, goods already subject to Section 232 tariffs — including autos, buses, and heavy trucks — were excluded, so the direct duty impact fell mainly on auto-sector goods not already under Section 232. From September 15, CBP guidance (CSMS #69851916) limits that carve-out to dairy-heading goods.

Jul 1, 2026
U.S. declines to renew USMCA in its current form; third automotive report issued

The United States declined to confirm extension of USMCA in its current form at the joint review, triggering annual reviews through 2036 under Article 34.7.4. USTR’s third biennial automotive report to Congress states the United States intends to examine stronger rules of origin, reduced reliance on third-country inputs, localized critical technologies, and simplified compliance for smaller suppliers. No published automotive amendment resulted.

Dec 14, 2022
Chapter 31 panel rules against the U.S. on core-parts “roll-up”

A USMCA Chapter 31 panel found the United States breached Article 4.5, Article 3 of the Automotive Appendix, and Article 8, confirming that a core part meeting its own RVC requirement is treated as fully originating when calculating a vehicle’s RVC. Mexico states the ruling remains incompletely implemented as of July 26, 2026. See Disputes & Panel Decisions.

Overview

Automotive policy sits at the intersection of USMCA’s specialized rules of origin, unresolved dispute-panel implementation, Section 232 tariffs, Labor Value Content enforcement, and a technology transition the existing rules were not designed around. The governing framework includes Chapter 4 and the Appendix to Annex 4-B, Chapter 5 origin procedures, Annex 2-C, Chapter 23 and the Rapid Response Labor Mechanism, and Chapter 31 dispute settlement — layered with domestic tariff authority such as Section 232 that operates independently of USMCA preference.

Automotive rules of origin were expressly discussed in the first U.S.–Mexico negotiating round connected to the review in May 2026. USTR’s July 1, 2026 automotive report states the United States intends to examine stronger rules that increase U.S. and North American content, discourage third-country inputs, localize critical technologies, and simplify compliance for smaller suppliers. No published agreement amending the current automotive rules of origin has been located as of July 26, 2026.

For compliance teams, the immediate legal requirements remain unchanged unless and until the parties adopt a legally effective amendment, decision, regulation, or other implementing measure. Potential changes could nevertheless affect RVC calculations, core-parts and Labor Value Content methodology, steel and aluminum sourcing, EV battery and critical-mineral treatment, supplier documentation, and verification exposure.

Review status
Active negotiations
Current review phase began
March 2026
Published negotiating text
None located

Controlling Authorities

The legal texts that govern automotive origin qualification today, unaffected by ongoing negotiations.

Current Rule vs. Proposed Change

The most consequential comparisons on this page. Nothing here is legally effective unless labeled “confirmed by controlling authority.”

Overall vehicle regional value content
Reported — not confirmed
Current rule

75% RVC under net-cost methodology for passenger vehicles and light trucks, per the Appendix to Annex 4-B, alongside separate core-parts, Labor Value Content, and steel/aluminum sourcing requirements.

Reported change

Increase toward a higher overall regional value content threshold, reported near 82%. Not located in published government text.

Proponent: United States (reported)
Legal mechanism required: Amendment to the Automotive Appendix
Last verified: Jul 26, 2026
U.S.-specific content requirement
Reported — not confirmed
Current rule

USMCA content rules are regional; there is no country-specific (U.S.-only) content requirement for preferential access. Mexico continues to reject even a minimal country-specific requirement.

Reported change

A 50% U.S.-made content requirement for preferential access, reported by Reuters as a live U.S. demand at the July 23 round. Not located in published government text. If adopted, this would reallocate production within North America rather than simply raise a percentage.

Proponent: United States (reported)
Legal mechanism required: Amendment to the Automotive Appendix / Annex 2-C
Last verified: Jul 26, 2026
Core-parts “roll-up” calculation
Confirmed by controlling authority
Current rule

A USMCA Chapter 31 panel confirmed that a core part satisfying its own RVC requirement is treated as fully originating when calculating the finished vehicle’s RVC, rejecting the U.S.’s narrower tracing interpretation.

Implementation status

Mexico states the ruling remains incompletely implemented. See the dispute module below for full detail.

Proponent: Canada & Mexico (panel-confirmed, Dec 2022)
Legal mechanism required: None to preserve; amendment needed to overturn
Last verified: Jul 26, 2026  ·  Panel report ↗
Chinese & other non-party content
Officially proposed — mechanism undetermined
Current rule

Origin rules trace material and regional content; there is no ownership- or nationality-based exclusion for non-party (e.g., Chinese-owned) production located in North America.

Officially confirmed objective

USTR’s 2026 report identifies declining U.S. content, rising non-market content, and Chinese investment in Mexico as review priorities. The specific legal mechanism — tracing versus ownership-based exclusion — is not yet determined in public text.

Proponent: United States
Legal mechanism required: Undetermined — possible ROO amendment, side arrangement, or investment-screening coordination
Last verified: Jul 26, 2026
Steel & aluminum purchasing rules
Confirmed by controlling authority
Current rule

At least 70% by value of a vehicle producer’s steel purchases in the territories of the Parties, and separately of its aluminum purchases, must be originating goods, per Article 6 of the Automotive Appendix (Appendix to Annex 4-B). A North American supplier location alone does not establish origin.

Analytical inference

Likely modification target given the U.S. has expressly paired automotive ROO discussions with steel, aluminum, and economic-security negotiations. No specific proposed text located.

Proponent: United States (inferred priority)
Legal mechanism required: Amendment to Automotive Appendix Article 6
Last verified: Jul 26, 2026

Disputes & Panel Decisions

Resolved litigation that remains highly relevant to how the review may unfold.

United States — Automotive Rules of Origin (USA-MEX-CDA-2022-31-01)
Resolved — still relevant
Parties

Mexico & Canada (co-complainants) v. United States

Legal provisions at issue

Article 4.5 (RVC); Automotive Appendix Articles 3 (core parts) & 8 (Alternative Staging Regimes)

The dispute

Mexico requested consultations in 2021 and sought establishment of a panel in January 2022; Canada participated as a co-complainant. The dispute concerned whether a core part that independently satisfied its applicable RVC requirement could be treated as fully originating (“rolled up”) when calculating the finished vehicle’s RVC. The United States argued core parts remained subject to a separate tracing requirement; Mexico and Canada argued Article 4.5 and Article 3 of the Automotive Appendix permitted roll-up.

Panel holding

The panel issued its final report on December 14, 2022, concluding the United States breached Article 4.5, Article 3 of the Automotive Appendix, and Article 8 (by conditioning Alternative Staging Regime approvals on a requirement not found in the Agreement or Uniform Regulations). The panel found the complainants’ interpretation consistent with the treaty text and the Vienna Convention interpretive framework, relying in part on pre-entry-into-force U.S. negotiating communications. Confirmed

Implementation status

In October 2025, Mexican Economy Secretary Marcelo Ebrard stated the panel’s automotive rules-of-origin decision had not been fully implemented. ICPA has not located a published trilateral compliance agreement as of July 26, 2026.

Joint-review relevance

This is not merely historical. It affects confidence in Chapter 31 compliance generally, the baseline from which new U.S. rules are negotiated, Mexico’s and Canada’s willingness to accept stricter rules, and the credibility of any future Free Trade Commission interpretation. Possible outcomes range from formal trilateral confirmation of the panel interpretation to a negotiated replacement through amendment or a new implementation dispute.

Importance: Critical  ·  Confidence: High  ·  Last verified: Jul 26, 2026  ·  Panel final report ↗  ·  U.S. initial written submission ↗

Verification, Enforcement & Compliance

CBP and the Department of Labor both continue active monitoring and enforcement of automotive rules, including Labor Value Content requirements.

Issues under monitoring
  • Vehicle-level certification & documentation
  • Supplier declarations & tracing
  • Labor Value Content wage verification
  • Steel & aluminum purchasing compliance
  • Preference utilization vs. MFN duty payment
  • CBP origin verification practices
  • DOL / CBP enforcement coordination
  • Automotive Rapid Response Labor Mechanism cases
  • Section 232 tariff & offset interaction with USMCA origin
  • Used-vehicle & remanufactured-parts eligibility
Monitor now
  • Confirm current RVC & core-parts calculations
  • Map Section 232 exposure against USMCA-originating status
  • Review Labor Value Content wage-data verification
  • Test supplier declarations for steel & aluminum sourcing
  • Identify vehicles/parts with narrow qualification margins
  • Review battery, e-axle & critical-mineral sourcing exposure
  • Compare USMCA utilization to MFN entry decisions
  • Confirm record-retention & verification readiness
  • Monitor automotive RRM petitions affecting suppliers
  • Track Section 232 offset-program administration

Country Positions

Formal positions inferred only from official statements, not from press reporting or meeting attendance alone.

United States

Seeks stronger automotive rules of origin, increased U.S. and North American content, reduced reliance on non-market third-country inputs, localization of critical technologies, and simplified compliance for SMEs. Uses Section 232 tariffs and offsets as industrial and security tools. Declined to renew USMCA in its current form on July 1, 2026.

Mexico

Supports extension and preservation of regional integration and Mexico’s automotive export platform, while continuing to state the core-parts panel decision remains incompletely implemented. Open to non-market-input cooperation but defensive of investment and manufacturing interests.

Aug 13, 2026
Reported · Tier 2
Mexico reportedly counterproposes tariffs on non-North American content only

Wall Street Journal reporting, relayed by CBT News, says Mexico has proposed restructuring U.S. auto tariffs so they apply only to the non-North American content of a vehicle, which would cut the effective rate on qualifying North American vehicles from 25% to roughly 5–10%. The counterproposal responds to a U.S. demand for 50% U.S.-made content as a condition of preferential treatment, a threshold Mexico and automakers call impractical; Content structure remains the central automotive dispute going into the fourth round. Neither government has published terms.

Source: CBT News (citing WSJ), Aug 13 ↗ (Tier 2)

Canada

Emphasizes continuity, predictability, and preservation of integrated production and market access. Supports economic-security cooperation but is likely to resist rules that reduce integrated market access or create unpredictable firm-based exclusions. Identifies automobiles and sectoral tariffs as continuing bilateral irritants.

Aug 7, 2026
Reported · Tier 2
Canada reportedly offers to remove counter-tariffs on U.S. autos in exchange for partial sectoral tariff relief

Industry sources cited by BNN Bloomberg say Ottawa has proposed removing its counter-tariffs on U.S.-built autos, alongside concessions on provincial alcohol bans and dairy quota administration, in exchange for some relief from U.S. sectoral tariffs before the August 19 Section 338 deadline. The auto surtax is the specific grievance cited in the July 20 motor-vehicle proclamation, so its removal would go directly to that tranche. Trade Minister LeBlanc, asked whether a deal could be reached before August 19, said only "I hope so" (in French); no agreement has been confirmed and neither government has published terms.

Source: BNN Bloomberg, Aug 7 ↗ (Tier 2)

Aug 12, 2026
Reported · Tier 2
Ottawa reportedly weighing a reduced 10–15% U.S. auto tariff in exchange for dropping all retaliation

Three sources tell The Globe and Mail that Canadian officials are weighing a U.S. proposal roughly halving the current 25% auto tariff to 10–15%, with Canada eliminating all retaliatory tariffs on American-made vehicles and the U.S. keeping the exemption for U.S. content in Canadian-assembled vehicles. Canada is pressing for broader exemption coverage for CUSMA-region content. Industry pushed back: APMA president Flavio Volpe said a 10–15% tariff “does not work for car makers or parts makers,” and Unifor president Lana Payne urged Ottawa to refuse any auto tariff. This supersedes nothing in the August 7 item above; both remain reported, and neither government has confirmed terms.

Source: The Globe and Mail, Aug 12 ↗ (Tier 2)

Aug 13, 2026
Reported · Tier 2
Greer says Trump and Carney will be given “options” after the fourth Washington meeting in three weeks

Following an August 13 session between Minister LeBlanc, chief negotiator Janice Charette and USTR Jamieson Greer, Greer told CBC News that the president and the prime minister “obviously they’ll be given options and discussions,” calling the meetings good and cordial. CBC reports the U.S. tabled a proposal on August 11 lowering some sectoral tariffs, but not as far as Canada wants, and that the U.S. is also seeking preferential access to Canadian critical minerals plus security and energy terms. Charette returned to USTR to continue talks the same evening. The August 19 Section 338 date is unchanged, and Canadian sources say there would be no political appetite to continue talks if it takes effect.

Source: CBC News, Aug 13 ↗ (Tier 2)

Aug 22, 2026
Reported · Tier 2
Talks collapse, with the treatment of Canadian vehicle content named as a deal-breaker

Prime Minister Carney suspended negotiations and recalled Canada’s team to Ottawa after three days of Washington talks failed to finalize the deal outlined on August 18. Carney identified the treatment of Canadian content in vehicles as a central sticking point, saying the United States would agree to tariff relief only on cars and would not extend it to medium or heavy vehicles such as the trucks built in Oakville and Oshawa. The other cited issues were U.S. efforts to restrict Canada’s ability to conclude other trade deals and to limit Canadian language and culture protections. This supersedes the August 7 through August 13 items above: the package they describe is no longer on the table, and no further talks are scheduled.

Source: Global News, Aug 22 ↗ (Tier 2)

Economic Evidence

USITC modeled estimates covering 2020–2024. Modeled estimates, not observed outcomes.

Estimated outcome USITC estimate
U.S. light-vehicle imports from other USMCA countries−37,591 vehicles
U.S. light-vehicle imports from non-USMCA countries+14,314 vehicles
U.S. vehicle production−15,037 vehicles
U.S. parts-production employment+5,387 workers
U.S. steel-production employment+2,463 workers
U.S. vehicle-production employment−302 workers
U.S. parts-production revenue+$3.419 billion
U.S. vehicle-production revenue−$250.8 million

Source: USITC 2025 report, modeling effects from 2020–2024. Economy-wide GDP and employment effects were estimated at below 0.01%. Results reflect a distributional effect: modeled benefits concentrate in parts and steel production, while vehicle production bears increased modeled costs. The observed period included pandemic disruptions, semiconductor shortages, and active Alternative Staging Regimes, which complicate attribution to USMCA alone.

Preference utilization for U.S. vehicle imports from Canada and Mexico fell from 99.5% under NAFTA (2019) to 91.8% in 2023, then rose to 94.7% in 2025 (99.0% for Canada, 92.9% for Mexico) — evidence some producers find the cost of USMCA qualification exceeds the 2.5% MFN passenger-vehicle tariff. The next USITC investigation (2027 report) is underway; OMB received its information-collection request on July 7, 2026.

Timeline & Key Developments

Extended to entry into force. Distinguishes negotiation, implementation, dispute, and economic-report events.

Oct 2026
Reported, not confirmed. Fourth U.S.–Mexico bilateral negotiating round: reported in September as moved to October; Expansión reported on October 16 that its date was still to be determined and that it must be held before year-end. The round had been reported for Sept. 28–29 in Washington, D.C. (Politico, September 17, citing an earlier Wall Street Journal report; the same day Mexico’s Secretaría de Economía said “la fecha de la cuarta ronda de negociaciones de la revisión del T-MEC no está confirmada”). On September 23 El Universal reported Undersecretary of Foreign Trade Luis Rosendo Gutiérrez Romano as saying the two governments agreed to hold it “hasta octubre, en lugar de septiembre.” On October 16 Expansión reported that the round’s date was still to be determined and that it must be held before year-end (see the October 16 row below). ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: ICPA has located no announced date for the fourth U.S.–Mexico round as of October 18; as of October 4 neither USTR nor the Secretaría de Economía had published one, and the Secretaría’s October 1 communiqué on the Ebrard–Greer meeting does not mention the round. Treat it as pending rather than scheduled. Reported, Tier 2. El Universal, Sep 23 ↗
Oct 16, 2026
Expansión reported on October 16, 2026 that Economy Secretary Marcelo Ebrard, appearing before committees of the Cámara de Diputados, said Mexico is asking that U.S. auto tariffs be aligned: “Lo que estamos planteando es que se alineen los aranceles, o sea, que nadie pague más del 15%,” in line with the 15% applied to South Korean vehicles, while keeping the existing per-model content-discount mechanism (“sistema de descuentos por modelo”), which Ebrard said the United States limited to U.S. content and which, in Expansión’s paraphrase of his remarks, already keeps the sector’s average payment considerably below 10%, against the 25% rate. He said reductions on steel and autos should come “entre las próximas semanas o meses,” and that Commerce Secretary Lutnick “nunca me ha dicho que él se oponga a que se reduzca la 232,” calling him “un buen amigo.” Expansión reports the fourth round’s date was still to be determined and must be held before year-end. Separately, Ebrard said: “El objetivo del cierre de este año es tener claridad de qué nos vamos a revisar cada año.” ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: ICPA has located no announced date for the fourth U.S.–Mexico round as of October 18; the 15% figure is Mexico’s stated request as reported, not an agreed rate, and the remarks came the day after the October 15 Wall Street Journal report below. Reported, Tier 2. Expansión, Oct 16 ↗
Oct 15, 2026
Reuters reported on October 15, 2026: “Progress toward a US-Mexico tariff deal has stalled after opposition from Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, the Wall Street Journal reported on Thursday, citing people familiar with the talks.” According to the report, Lutnick has opposed significant reductions in the 25% tariff on Mexican automobiles and the 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum, and objected to reductions in tariffs on finished products made of steel and aluminum. Mexico’s Deputy Trade Minister Luis Rosendo Gutiérrez told the Journal there was progress in the negotiations (as paraphrased by Reuters), and a Commerce Department spokesperson said the department was in constant dialogue with Mexico on trade. This is a media account citing unnamed people familiar with the talks; as of October 18, we have located no government confirmation that talks have stalled. Ebrard’s October 16 remarks on Lutnick are recorded above. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: the 25% and 50% rates are the Section 232 rates. Reported, Tier 2. Reuters (via Yahoo Finance Canada), Oct 15 ↗
Oct 14, 2026
MLex reported on October 14, 2026 that witnesses told the U.S. International Trade Commission “on Wednesday” that any update to the USMCA automotive rules of origin must address “the proliferation of electric vehicles” and “US worker protections.” The article is paywalled and names no witnesses. Under the Commission’s corrected schedule (FR Doc. 2026-03841), post-hearing briefs and statements are due October 21, 2026 and other written submissions November 2, 2026. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: this is the Investigation No. 332-608 public hearing (USMCA Automotive Rules of Origin: Economic Impact and Operation, 2027 Report) the Commission had scheduled for October 14. Reported, Tier 2. MLex, Oct 14 ↗   Federal Register, FR Doc. 2026-03841 (correction) ↗
Oct 11, 2026
Mexican Times reports that the fourth U.S.–Mexico bilateral round still has no date on the calendar, and that the private sector expects it to be held in Washington this month. Citing the Consejo Coordinador Empresarial’s Medina Mora, the article says “las reglas de origen y los temas laborales ya no se discutirán este año” and that they move to the 2027 review. It also repeats the Bloomberg-reported figures already recorded on September 30: Mexican officials cited by Bloomberg said the deal under discussion would take the auto tariff from 25% to 15%, an effective rate of 10–12% because it would apply only to non-U.S. content; the article notes nothing has been signed. Mexico is also seeking reductions in the 50% Section 232 duties on steel and aluminum; the article gives no target rate for either. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: the deferral of rules of origin is a private-sector account relayed by the press, not an announced change to the official negotiating agenda. Reported, Tier 2. Mexican Times, Oct 11 ↗
Oct 10, 2026
SDP Noticias reports that at a campaign rally in Clarksville, Tennessee, President Trump said: “Vamos a hacer un nuevo acuerdo con México que será estupendo, pero simplemente no queremos perder tanto dinero.” He said the United States does not need Canadian products such as hockey sticks or protective masks (“no necesitamos palos de hockey, ni máscaras protectoras”), and put annual U.S. trade losses at US$90 billion with Canada and US$190 billion with Mexico. The reporter notes he gave no date or content for the Mexico deal. The report carries no remarks on autos or the USMCA joint review. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: the remarks come with the fourth U.S.–Mexico bilateral round still unscheduled and U.S.–Canada talks unresumed since their reported collapse on August 22 (see Country Positions); as of October 11 ICPA has found no USTR or White House statement on the remarks. Reported, Tier 2. SDP Noticias, Oct 10 ↗
Oct 1, 2026
The Canadian Press reports that, closing the G20 trade ministers’ meeting in Milwaukee, Ambassador Greer told reporters: “We certainly have technical talks with the Canadians. The reality is there are a handful of outstanding issues that are quite difficult to resolve.” He said the administration is open to a deal with Canada but is “not inclined to go to zero tariffs,” and that his main point of contact remains Canada–U.S. Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc, with whom he speaks frequently. Asked whether the U.S. is holding technical talks with U.S. automakers about imposing a 50 per cent tariff on Canada’s auto sector on January 1 if there is no deal, Greer replied that the focus of U.S. trade policy is on re-shoring manufacturing. Canadian International Trade Minister Maninder Sidhu had a pull-aside conversation with Greer at the summit on September 30; Sidhu said he raised Canada–U.S. trade with Greer, “along with other matters such as World Trade Organization reforms.” ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: it is the first publicly reported in-person ministerial exchange since the August 22 collapse. ICPA note: no Global Affairs Canada readout of the Sidhu–Greer exchange had been published as of October 4. Reported, Tier 2. The Canadian Press (via BNN Bloomberg), Oct 1 ↗
Sep 30, 2026
Bloomberg News reports, citing multiple unnamed Mexican officials who requested anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss the negotiations publicly, that Mexico’s government is increasingly confident about a possible trade deal with the United States that “includes reduced tariffs on key exports like steel, aluminum and light vehicles.” According to the officials, “the two nations are working on the details of an agreement that would cut US tariffs on light vehicles to 15% from the current 25%”; because the full rate applies only to non-U.S. content, they put the effective rate at between 10% and 12%. The steel and aluminum terms are not specified in the portion ICPA could review. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: as of October 4 neither government has announced an agreement; Bloomberg describes the two sides as “working on the details.” Reported, Tier 2. Bloomberg News (via Bloomberg Law), Sep 30 ↗
Sep 29, 2026
Section 338 import exclusions took effect at 12:01 a.m. ET for covered Canadian products under Proclamations 11061 (Alcoholic Beverages), 11062 (Dairy) and 11063 (Motor Vehicles), implemented by CBP CSMS # 70050970 of September 28; entries containing covered products are unconditionally rejected in ACE. The Motor Vehicles annex lists HTSUS 8711.50.00, motorcycles over 800 cc. Covered goods imported before that time remain eligible for entry, and those already in a bonded warehouse or a Foreign Trade Zone may be withdrawn for consumption, at the 50 percent duty. The message does not mention USMCA and sets out no exception for USMCA-qualifying goods. USITC 332-608: requests to appear at the October 14 hearing were due the same day; prehearing briefs were due October 1. CBP CSMS # 70050970, Sep 28 ↗
Sep 25, 2026
USTR invokes the Rapid Response Labor Mechanism at Yokohama Tire Manufacturing Mexico in Coahuila; the United States will suspend liquidation of all entries of goods from the facility (tires) until further notice. Mexico has 10 days to agree to a review and 45 days to complete it. USTR, Sep 25 ↗
Sep 23, 2026
El Universal reports that, according to Undersecretary of Foreign Trade Luis Rosendo Gutiérrez Romano, the White House and the Mexican government agreed to hold the fourth bilateral round “hasta octubre, en lugar de septiembre”; no round has yet been announced. He cited President Xi Jinping’s U.S. visit and the September 30–October 1 G20 trade ministerial in Milwaukee, and said work with USTR and the U.S. Commerce Department continues almost daily. He said negotiations on lowering U.S. tariffs on Mexican steel, aluminum and autos, Mexico’s stated priority, continue to advance, that the United States is “muy receptivos,” and that Mexico is optimistic about results “en las próximas semanas.” Among roughly 12 Mexican requests he named that the United States “respetar las decisiones del panel que ganamos en la metodología de las reglas de origen del sector automotriz.” Asked about President Sheinbaum’s statement that U.S. requests had risen from 54 to 90 points, he said these were not new requests but extensions of the roughly 54 original topics, “puntos que se van desdoblando.” ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: the panel he refers to is the Chapter 31 panel report issued in December 2022 on the automotive core-parts roll-up methodology; no amendment to USMCA Chapter 4 or the Uniform Regulations has been published. Reported, Tier 2. El Universal, Sep 23 ↗
Sep 17, 2026
Politico reports the fourth formal U.S.–Mexico round is “now set to take place Sept. 28 and 29, after being rescheduled a week,” following a September 16 Trump–Sheinbaum call that one source called “so-so” and a U.S. official said continues “in a positive direction.” Earlier rounds covered cars, steel and aluminum, agriculture, labor and economic security; no agreement has been announced. ICPA analysis, not stated in the source: the U.S. content demand and Mexico’s request for Section 232 auto-tariff relief remain the key automotive items outstanding. Reported, Tier 2. Politico, Sep 17 ↗
Sep 10, 2026
Prime Minister Carney, speaking in Banff, characterised the new U.S. import bans and tariff-list changes as “relatively modest measures and so we take that into context,” said the government is still studying whether to retaliate, and said Canada remains ready to negotiate. The Globe and Mail notes the existing U.S. tariffs of 25 per cent on autos and Canada’s counter-tariffs of 15 to 50 per cent that took effect September 8, and quotes former ambassador Kirsten Hillman expecting months before formal talks resume. Reported, Tier 2. The Globe and Mail, Sep 10 ↗
Sep 8, 2026
Canada’s counter-tariffs take effect. CBSA Customs Notice 26-23 administers the United States Surtax Order (2026): “Effective September 8, 2026, certain goods imported into Canada and originating in the U.S. are subject to a surtax of either 15%, 25% or 50%,” introduced “in response to the U.S.’ imposition of Section 338 tariffs on goods imported into the U.S. from Canada.” The revised Customs Notice 25-11 raises the surtax on the steel and aluminum goods in new Schedules 1.1 and 2.1 from 25 to 50 percent on the same date; goods in transit on or before September 8 stay at 25 percent. Requests for remission continue to be accepted under the Government’s U.S. remission framework. CBSA Customs Notice 26-23 ↗   CBSA Customs Notice 25-11 ↗
Aug 24, 2026
Page last verified.
Aug 21–22, 2026
Talks collapse. Carney recalls the negotiating team to Ottawa, citing the treatment of Canadian content in vehicles as a central sticking point: the U.S. would extend tariff relief only to cars, not to medium or heavy vehicles such as trucks built in Oakville and Oshawa. The Section 338 duties take effect at 12:01 a.m. ET on August 22 under HTSUS 9903.03.14 for motor vehicles. Collapse reporting is Tier 2; the duty and its filing requirements are Tier 1.
Aug 19, 2026
Commerce amends the U.S.-content submission procedures for USMCA-qualifying automobiles under Section 232, aligning timelines with Proclamation 10984. Submissions open on or after this date.
Aug 18, 2026
Proclamation 11056 suspends the Section 338 duties for three days, moving the effective date from August 19 to August 22 and providing for refunds of duties already collected.
Aug 13, 2026
USTR resolves the Rapid Response Labor Mechanism matter at the Grupo Yazaki wire-harness facility in León, Guanajuato; liquidation of previously suspended entries resumes.
Aug 12–13, 2026
Reported Canadian and Mexican counterproposals on auto tariffs surface (10–15% reduced rate for Canada; non-North American content only for Mexico); Greer says Trump and Carney will be given “options” after the August 13 Washington meeting.
Aug 4, 2026
Commerce publishes its preliminary affirmative AD determination on van-type trailers and subassemblies from Canada (A-122-875, 91 FR 49407); suspension of liquidation and cash deposits begin for covered entries.
Aug 4, 2026
Canada–U.S. talks intensify in Washington ahead of August 19 Section 338 motor-vehicle tariff effective date
Reported · Tier 2

Canada–U.S. Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc and chief negotiator Janice Charette returned to Washington on August 4 for their second visit in two weeks, meeting USTR Jamieson Greer, U.S. business groups backing CUSMA renewal, and key senators. LeBlanc later described an August 6 session with Greer as a "constructive and detailed meeting." The talks are aimed at heading off the 50% Section 338 duties, including the motor-vehicle tranche premised on Canada's surtax on U.S.-made cars, before they take effect at 12:01 a.m. ET on August 19. No agreement had been announced as of August 7.

Source: BNN Bloomberg, Aug 4 ↗ (Tier 2)

Jul 27, 2026
Gordie Howe International Bridge opens to traffic, adding a direct Detroit–Windsor highway-to-highway crossing for the auto corridor.
Jul 23–24, 2026
Third U.S.–Mexico bilateral round concludes in Mexico City; the July 23 joint statement directs a fourth round in Washington in September 2026. No automotive negotiating text published.
Jul 23, 2026
USTR finalizes forced-labor Section 301 action on 60 economies; Canada and Mexico state USMCA-compliant goods remain exempt. Reuters reports the U.S. 50% U.S.-content demand remains a live automotive sticking point.
Jul 22, 2026
Senate Commerce Committee markup advances the Connected Vehicle Security Act of 2026. USTR’s Greer states the U.S. aims for interim arrangements by year-end 2026, with harder automotive issues likely extending into 2027.
Jul 20, 2026
The White House and USTR announce Section 338 action against Canada, including a motor-vehicle proclamation; the additional 50% duty on covered goods was set for Aug. 19, 2026 (later moved to Aug. 22), regardless of USMCA origin (goods already under Section 232 excluded as announced). Canada cancels the joint Gordie Howe Bridge celebration.
Jul 7, 2026
USITC submits its proposed information collection for the 2027 automotive report to OMB.
Jul 1, 2026
USTR issues its third biennial automotive report. The United States declines to confirm extension of USMCA in its current form at the joint review, triggering annual reviews through 2036 under Article 34.7.4.
Jun 2026
Second U.S.–Mexico negotiating round continues review-related discussions (Jun 15–17).
May 2026
First U.S.–Mexico negotiating round addresses automotive rules of origin, steel and aluminum, and economic security (May 29).
Mar 2026
U.S. and Mexican officials direct technical teams to evaluate options for limiting non-market inputs and increasing regional production and employment.
2025
USITC releases its second economic-impact and operation report (Jul 1). U.S. and Canada hold public consultations for the 2026 review (Sep–Dec); USTR holds a December public hearing. Mexico’s economy secretary states the panel ruling has not been fully implemented (Oct 15).
Jul 2024
USTR issues its second biennial automotive report, identifying positive sector effects, increased MFN duty payment on some regional imports, technological challenges, and unresolved core-parts issues.
2023
Panel report becomes public; Mexico announces the panel accepted its roll-up interpretation (Jan 11). USITC releases its first statutory automotive economic-impact report (Jun 30).
2022
Mexico requests panel establishment (Jan 6); panel hearing held in Washington (Aug 2–3); panel issues final report finding a U.S. breach (Dec 14).
2021
Mexico challenges the U.S. interpretation of core-parts roll-up through Chapter 31 consultations.
Jun–Jul 2020
Trilateral Uniform Regulations published (Jun 3); USMCA enters into force (Jul 1), with automotive rules and approved staging arrangements taking effect.
Feb 2020
Executive Order 13908 establishes the U.S. Interagency Committee on Trade in Automotive Goods.

Research Gaps & Open Issues

Reviewed and updated with each page verification pass.

  • A trilaterally agreed list of specific automotive amendments under negotiation has not been located
  • No public proposed treaty text for stronger automotive rules of origin has been located
  • No formal compliance agreement implementing the 2022 core-parts panel report has been located
  • Legal mechanism for excluding content based on non-party ownership (rather than material origin) remains unclear
  • No public trilateral proposal covering Chinese automotive investment in Mexico has been located
  • Complete firm-level data measuring actual U.S., Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese content using a common methodology has not been located
  • A comprehensive public reconciliation of Section 232 tariff treatment with each USMCA automotive origin category has not been located
  • A complete public dataset quantifying Labor Value Content compliance costs by producer and supplier tier has not been located
  • The fourth U.S.–Mexico round, reported postponed from September and, per Expansión on October 16, to be held before year-end, had no date and no published automotive negotiating text that ICPA could locate as of October 18, 2026
Members: search every source across all eight topics. This USMCA topic page is open to everyone, with no login. The full Tier 1 and Tier 2 library is the members-only part: filterable by topic and by source tier, and it keeps sources that have since rotated off this page.
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Tier 1 — primary government sources
USTR: United States Seeks Mexico’s Review of Alleged Denial of Workers’ Rights at Yokohama Tire Manufacturing Mexico, S.A. de C.V. (September 25, 2026)
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Presidencia de la República: Versión estenográfica, conferencia de prensa de la presidenta Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo (September 21, 2026)
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USTR: Ambassador Greer Issues Statement on President Trump’s Response to Canada’s Continued Retaliation Against the United States (September 8, 2026)
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The White House: Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Responds to Canada’s Retaliation (September 8, 2026)
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CBP: CSMS # 69851916 – Modifying Section 338 Additional Duties on Certain Goods of Canada (September 11, 2026)
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Federal Register: Proclamation 11065 – Modifying the Scope of Products of Canada Subject to the Additional Duties Imposed To Offset Canadian Discrimination (91 FR 58339, September 14, 2026)
View source ↗
Federal Register: Proclamation 11063 – Excluding Certain Canadian Products From Importation, Motor Vehicles (91 FR 58325, September 14, 2026)
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The White House: Proclamation – Modifying the Scope of Products of Canada Subject to the Additional Duties (Motor Vehicles) (September 8, 2026)
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Presidencia de la República: Versión estenográfica, conferencia de prensa de la presidenta Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo (September 18, 2026)
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CBSA: Customs Notice 26-23 – United States Surtax Order (2026) (September 7, 2026)
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Federal Register — Amending Procedures for Submissions by Importers of Automobiles Qualifying for Preferential Tariff Treatment Under the USMCA To Determine U.S. Content (Doc. 2026-16859, August 19, 2026)
View source ↗
Federal Register — Proclamation 11056: Temporary Suspension of Additional Duties To Offset Canadian Discrimination … (Doc. 2026-17294, August 24, 2026)
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CBP — CSMS # 69606660: Guidance, Section 338 Additional Duties on Certain Goods of Canada (August 21, 2026)
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USTR — Report to Congress on the Operation of the USMCA with Respect to Trade in Automotive Goods (July 1, 2026)
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USITC — USMCA Automotive Rules of Origin: Economic Impact and Operation, 2025 Report (Pub. 5642)
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USITC — USMCA Automotive Rules of Origin: Economic Impact and Operation, 2027 Report (Investigation No. 332-608)
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USTR — United States and Mexico to Convene in Mexico City for Third Bilateral Negotiating Round Related to the Joint Review
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USTR — United States and Mexico Announce Series of Bilateral Negotiating Rounds Related to the First Joint Review (May 2026)
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CBP — USMCA Automotive Goods Guidance & FAQs
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Secretaría de Economía — T-MEC official portal (implementing rules, certification guidance)
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Global Affairs Canada — Statement Following the July 1, 2026 Trilateral Review
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USTR — Joint Statement from Ambassador Greer and Secretary Ebrard (July 23, 2026)
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The White House — Proclamation: Additional Duties on Canada Regarding Motor Vehicles (Section 338, July 20, 2026)
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USTR — Fact Sheet: Section 301 Action on Forced Labor (60 Economies, July 23, 2026)
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Federal Register — Van-Type Trailers and Subassemblies Thereof From Canada: Preliminary Affirmative LTFV Determination (A-122-875, 91 FR 49407, Aug 4, 2026)
View source ↗
USTR — Successful Resolution of Rapid Response Labor Mechanism Matter at Grupo Yazaki, S.A. de C.V. (Aug 13, 2026)
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Department of Finance Canada — Canada announces targeted countermeasures in response to U.S. tariffs
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Department of Finance Canada — List of products subject to counter-tariffs effective September 8, 2026
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U.S. Customs and Border Protection — CSMS # 70050970: Certain Canadian Products Excluded from Importation into the United States; Presidential Proclamations 11061, 11062, and 11063 (September 28, 2026)
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Secretaría de Economía — Comunicado No. 93: El secretario de Economía, Marcelo Ebrard, se reúne con el representante comercial de EE. UU. para avanzar en negociación bilateral (October 1, 2026)
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USTR — USTR Seeks Public Comment on the 2027 Joint Review of USMCA (October 2, 2026)
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USTR — United States and Mexico Announce Course of Remediation at Corporación de Occidente Facility (October 2, 2026)
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Federal Register — Request for Public Comments and Notice of Public Hearing Relating to the Operation of the Agreement Between the United States of America, the United Mexican States, and Canada (91 FR 63379, Docket Nos. USTR-2026-0595 and USTR-2026-0596, October 5, 2026)
View source ↗
USTR — Fourteen Economies Join the United States in Signing a Joint Ministerial Statement to Address Global Excess Capacity and Production in Key Manufacturing Sectors (October 7, 2026)
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USTR — Joint Ministerial Statement Addressing Structural Excess Capacity and Production (October 2026)
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USTR — United States Seeks Mexico’s Review of Alleged Denial of Workers’ Rights at GLM Components Mexico (October 8, 2026)
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Presidencia de la República: Versión estenográfica, conferencia de prensa de la presidenta Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo (October 12, 2026)
View source ↗
Diario Oficial de la Federación — DECRETO por el que se modifica la Tarifa de la Ley de los Impuestos Generales de Importación y de Exportación (fracción 9803.00.01; October 13, 2026)
View source ↗
Federal Register — Agency Information Collection Activities; Comment Request; Information Collections: High-Wage Components of the Labor Value Content Requirements Under the USMCA (91 FR 65800, FR Doc. 2026-21169, October 16, 2026)
View source ↗
Federal Register — USITC Investigation No. 332-608, USMCA Automotive Rules of Origin: Economic Impact and Operation, 2027 Report; correction to schedule (FR Doc. 2026-03841, February 26, 2026)
View source ↗
Tier 2 — dispute materials
USMCA Chapter 31 Panel — Automotive Rules of Origin, Final Report (Dec 14, 2022), USA-MEX-CDA-2022-31-01
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USTR — USA Initial Written Submission, Automotive Rules of Origin Panel (May 19, 2022)
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Secretaría de Economía — Mexico Request for Panel Establishment (Jan 6, 2022)
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Tier 2 — legal & policy analysis
Troutman Pepper Locke: From Duties to Import Bans: President Trump Escalates Section 338 Actions Against Canadian Goods (September 10, 2026)
View source ↗
Steptoe — Preparing for a USMCA Review in the Autos & Auto Parts Sector
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White & Case — USMCA 2026 Joint Review: United States Declines to Extend Agreement, Triggering Annual Reviews
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CRS — USMCA: Automotive Rules of Origin (In Focus)
View source ↗
The Braumiller Group — USMCA: Negotiation Preparations
View source ↗
Tier 2 — press reporting
El Universal: México y Estados Unidos aplazan cuarta ronda del T-MEC; negociación sobre aranceles de acero, aluminio y autos continúa (September 23, 2026)
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Politico: Trump, Sheinbaum talk as US, Mexico close in on a trade agreement (September 17, 2026)
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El Financiero: Postergan cuarta ronda de negociaciones del T-MEC entre México y EU (September 17, 2026)
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The Globe and Mail: Ottawa weighs response to Trump’s latest trade blow (September 10, 2026)
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Global News — U.S.–Canada trade talks have collapsed. Carney says these 3 issues torpedoed them (August 22, 2026)
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Bloomberg — Canada Sets US Counter-Tariffs Sept. 8 to Mirror Trump Levy (August 22, 2026)
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BNN Bloomberg — LeBlanc, Charette Back in Washington Amid Protracted Trade War, New Tensions with U.S. (Aug 4, 2026)
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BNN Bloomberg — Alcohol, Dairy and Autos: What Is and Isn’t on the Table in Canada–U.S. Trade Negotiations (Aug 7, 2026)
View source ↗
The Globe and Mail — Ottawa Weighs Proposal on Auto Tariffs as It Presses U.S. for Reprieve, Sources Say (Aug 12, 2026)
View source ↗
CBT News (citing The Wall Street Journal) — Mexico Pushes for Lower Auto Tariffs as USMCA Talks Press On (Aug 13, 2026)
View source ↗
CBC News — Carney, Trump to Be Given ‘Options’ Following Latest Trade Talks, Says U.S. Rep (Aug 13, 2026)
View source ↗
Bloomberg News (via Bloomberg Law): Mexico Grows Confident on US Deal to Cut Steel, Auto Tariffs (September 30, 2026)
View source ↗
The Canadian Press (via BNN Bloomberg): U.S. has ‘difficult’ issues to resolve with Canada: trade rep (October 1, 2026)
View source ↗
SDP Noticias: Trump prevé nuevo acuerdo comercial con México sin la participación de Canadá (October 10, 2026)
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Mexican Times: T-MEC: lo que México se juega en la cuarta ronda con EU (October 11, 2026)
View source ↗
MLex: US trade commission hears testimony on USMCA rules of origin (October 14, 2026)
View source ↗
Reuters (via Yahoo Finance Canada): Progress toward a US-Mexico tariff deal has stalled, WSJ reports (October 15, 2026)
View source ↗
Expansión: México logrará reducir aranceles al acero y autos en semanas o meses, asegura Ebrard (October 16, 2026)
View source ↗
Expansión: Secretaría de Economía on the import-duty exemption for vehicle-assembly parts (October 16, 2026)
View source ↗

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About this tracker

The USMCA Joint Review Tracker is published by the International Compliance Professionals Association (ICPA). It follows the 2026 USMCA joint review under Article 34.7: negotiating rounds, government positions, legal status, tariff and customs actions, and what each change means for importers and exporters. It is a policy and compliance tracker, not a trade-flow data dashboard.

Updated weekly and when a significant development breaks. It covers automotive, agriculture, labor, digital trade, de minimis, steel and aluminum, economic security and rules of origin, and it is built on primary sources from USTR, CBP, the White House, the Federal Register and the governments of Canada and Mexico, with every item marked as confirmed or reported.

This tracker is researched and maintained by Heather Tschirhart, who leads ICPA’s trade research and data work.

Spot something inaccurate, know of a development, article, or video that should be added, or notice something not working? Reach out any time.

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Cite this tracker

International Compliance Professionals Association (ICPA), USMCA Joint Review Tracker: Automotive, researched and maintained by Heather Tschirhart, updated weekly, https://www.icpainc.org/usmca-joint-review-automotive/

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